Crypto have it's own history. It's own path. In 2021, they tried hard affect the run by banning mining in China, and then even a full ban by september 2021 in China. It affected the run, as it was sub par. But it still happened. As for a great recession in late 2025, sure it will happen, as it is the end of the Juglar cycle, again. Cyclical crisis are not something that "happens", because bad luck. They repeat themselves, by design, at the end of each Juglar cycle.